A pochi giorni dalla cerimonia di apertura delle Olimpiadi di Parigi 2024, che si terrร venerdรฌ, Gracenote di Nielsen rilascia le previsioni finali del Virtual Medal Table (VMT) per i Giochi del 2024. Considerando i dati disponibili sui risultati delle principali competizioni mondiali e continentali dopo i Giochi estivi di Tokyo 2020, Gracenote ha proiettato il numero di medaglie d'oro, d'argento e di bronzo per i Paesi e gli atleti partecipanti ai Giochi della XXXIII Olimpiade.
Almost all Russian and Belarussian competitors have been absent from international competitions since February 2022. Any who take part in Paris 2024 without results in this period cannot be predicted accurately. However, there is limited participation of these athletes and we expect the Virtual Medal Table to be the usual accurate reflection of the National Olympic Committees’ potential Olympic performance based on the data that we have.
Istantanea
Gracenoteโs VMT forecast projects the United States to win the most medals overall at Paris 2024 (112). If Team USA meets this expectation, it would mark the team’s eighth successive placement at the top of the final Summer Games medal table.
China is projected to finish second on total medals but could challenge the United States for first place on gold medals. The 86 medals currently forecast for China would be three fewer than the countryโs total of 89 in Tokyo three years ago. The 34 gold medals forecast would be four down on China’s total of 38 three years ago.
Great Britain is also expected to produce a similar performance to the last Olympics with the Gracenote VMT forecasting one British medal fewer than Tokyo’s 64. Gold medals could be significantly down though as the British team is projected to win 17 golds in Paris.
La nazione ospitante, la Francia, dovrebbe aumentare sensibilmente il suo bottino complessivo di medaglie rispetto alle 33 conquistate a Tokyo. Il medagliere virtuale colloca la Francia al terzo posto per quanto riguarda le medaglie d'oro, dietro a Stati Uniti e Cina, e il totale previsto di 27 medaglie d'oro non sarebbe molto lontano dal numero totale di medaglie della Francia alle ultime Olimpiadi, qualora venisse raggiunto.
Australia is expected to be fifth on the total medal table. The 54 medals forecasted by the Gracenote Virtual Medal Table would be the country’s most for 24 years, since winning a record 58 when hosting Sydney 2000.
Atleti russi e bielorussi
Poichรฉ i concorrenti di Russia e Bielorussia sono stati banditi dalle competizioni internazionali in quasi tutti gli sport olimpici dal febbraio 2022, non รจ possibile valutare con precisione le prestazioni potenziali di coloro che parteciperanno come Atleti Individuali Neutrali a Parigi 2024, a meno che non abbiano gareggiato piรน o meno normalmente come, ad esempio, i tennisti dei due Paesi. Tuttavia, sembra che il numero di concorrenti di questi Paesi sia fortemente limitato a Parigi e il medagliere virtuale di Gracenote rappresenta quindi la situazione attuale in modo accurato, dati i dati in nostro possesso.
I primi cinque paesi vincitori di medaglie
Stati Uniti
(Paris 2024 projection: 112 medals, Tokyo 2020: 113)
The U.S. is expected to once again top the Summer Games Virtual Medal Table in Paris. The current Gracenote projection of 112 medals is similar to the total claimed by Team USA in 2021. The United States team has medals projected in 28 different sports in the Virtual Medal Table, one sport fewer than the country’s own Olympic record of 29 which was set in Tokyo. Athletics and swimming are still the key to success though with just under half of US medals projected to be won in those two sports.
Cina
(Paris 2024: 86, Tokyo 2020: 89)
At the Tokyo Olympics, China recovered from its total of 70 medals at the Rio Olympics, its lowest since 2004. Final Gracenote projections for Paris 2024 suggest that China will produce a similar performance to three years ago. Diving, shooting, swimming, table tennis, artistic gymnastics and badminton are Chinaโs key medal-winning sports but 20 different sports have a top-three Chinese competitor according to the VMT. China’s projected gold medal total of 34 means that it may be a threat to the United States’ position as the winner of most golds in Paris.
Gran Bretagna
(Paris 2024: 63, Tokyo 2020: 64)
The final Gracenote Virtual Medal Table for Paris 2024 suggests that Great Britain can sustain its winning performance of 60 or more medals for a fourth successive Olympic Summer Games. British success over the past three Summer Olympics has been built on having medal winners in at least 20 sports. Gracenote’s final VMT forecast has British medal winners in 21 different sports, suggesting that this trend is set to continue. Prior to the 2012 Olympic Games, Great Britain had not won medals in at least 20 sports for over 100 years, since hosting in 1908.
Francia
(Paris 2024: 60, Tokyo 2020: 33)
Gracenote’s final forecast projects that host nation France will increase its medal total significantly, nearly tripling its number of gold medals in comparison to the Tokyo Olympics. Summer Olympic success for France has been achieved in 15 to 19 different sports at each Olympics this century but medals are projected in 28 different sports in Paris. This would be a new French record. At the Paris 2024 Games, France is expected to have its best Olympic Games for 124 years, since winning 115 medals when hosting in 1900.
Australia
(Parigi 2024: 54 medaglie, Tokyo 2020: 46)
After the disappointing Olympics of 2012 and 2016, Australia will again improve in Paris. Gracenote expects Australia to win over 40 medals for the sixth time in the last eight Olympics and more than 50 for the first time for 24 years. If Australia wins 54 medals as forecast, it will be the country’s best Olympic performance since hosting Sydney 2000. Achieving this will depend to a great extent on the success of the swimming team.
Medaglia virtuale Tabella 1-10
| NOC | Paese | Oro | Argento | Bronzo | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stati Uniti |  | 39 | 32 | 41 | 112 |
| Cina |  | 34 | 27 | 25 | 86 |
| Gran Bretagna |  | 17 | 20 | 26 | 63 |
| Francia |  | 27 | 21 | 12 | 60 |
| Australia |  | 15 | 23 | 16 | 54 |
| Giappone |  | 13 | 13 | 21 | 47 |
| Italia |  | 11 | 19 | 16 | 46 |
| Germania |  | 11 | 12 | 12 | 35 |
| Paesi Bassi |  | 16 | 10 | 8 | 34 |
| Repubblica di Corea |  | 9 | 4 | 13 | 26 |
Paesi classificati dal 6ยฐ al 10ยฐ posto nella tabella delle medaglie virtuali
Giappone
(Paris 2024: 47, Tokyo 2020: 58)
After its record-breaking Olympics in Tokyo, Japan is expected to fall short of that performance in Paris. Gracenoteโs final Virtual Medal Table has the Japanese team winning 11 fewer medals than three years ago. The number of gold medals likely to be won by Japan is expected to be more than halved, from 27 to 13. Medals are forecast in 17 different sports, well short of Japan’s record of 21 from Tokyo 2020. However, 47 medals would represent Japan’s second best Summer Games performance, after Tokyo 2020.
Italia
(proiezione Parigi 2024: 46, Tokyo 2020: 40)
L'Italia ha vinto la sua migliore Olimpiade di sempre a Tokyo, ma il medagliere virtuale finale di Gracenote prevede una performance ancora migliore a Parigi 2024. Sostenuta da una potenziale migliore prestazione di sempre in piscina, l'Italia dovrebbe vincere un record di 46 medaglie in 21 sport diversi, superando il record di 40 medaglie in 19 sport di Tokyo.
Germania
(Paris 2024: 35, Tokyo 2020: 37)
Il medagliere della Germania รจ diminuito in sei delle sette Olimpiadi estive dalla riunificazione, con l'unica eccezione di Londra 2012. Parigi 2024 potrebbe continuare questa tendenza: il medagliere virtuale finale di Gracenote prevede 35 medaglie per la Germania, due in meno rispetto a Tokyo. Si prevede che la squadra tedesca vincerร medaglie in 18 sport diversi, il secondo dato piรน basso dalla riunificazione, dopo Londra 2012. La Germania non domina piรน nessuno sport in particolare e il VMT non prevede piรน di tre medaglie per la squadra tedesca in ogni singolo sport.
Paesi Bassi
(Paris 2024: 34, Tokyo 2020: 36)
Three years after its best Summer Olympics in Tokyo, the Dutch team is forecast to produce a similar performance in Paris. Gracenote’s final forecast has the Dutch team breaking the country’s gold medal record of 12, set at the Sydney 2000 Olympics but just falling short of the total medal record of 36 from the same Games. At four of the last six Olympic Games, the Netherlands has won medals in 11 to 13 sports. The 2024 Summer Games look like being a similar story with Gracenote forecasting medals in 12 different sports. However, success this year will primarily depend on three sports – rowing, cycling – track and athletics – which, between them, are expected to deliver half of the medals for the Netherlands.
Repubblica di Corea
(Paris 2024: 26, Tokyo 2020: 20)
Tokyo 2020 was a disappointing Olympics for the Republic of Korea. The 20 medals including six golds were both the lowest totals for the country since it won 19 and six respectively at the Los Angeles Olympics of 1984. The prospects for Paris 2024 look better with Korean competitors forecast to win 26 medals, including nine golds, across 11 different sports. This would be Korea’s best Olympic medal winning performance since 2012 and it would put Korea back into the top-10 medal winning nations.
Medaglia virtuale Tabella 11-20
| NOC | Paese | Oro | Argento | Bronzo | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada |  | 7 | 9 | 5 | 21 |
| Ungheria |  | 7 | 6 | 7 | 20 |
| Brasile |  | 8 | 4 | 6 | 18 |
| Spagna |  | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 |
| Polonia |  | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17 |
| Danimarca |  | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 |
| Turchia |  | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 |
| Nuova Zelanda |  | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 |
| Ucraina |  | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 |
| Etiopia |  | 6 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
Tabella delle medaglie virtuali 21-30
| NOC | Paese | Oro | Argento | Bronzo | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenya |  | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 |
| Svezia |  | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 |
| Belgio |  | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12 |
| Georgia |  | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 |
| Uzbekistan |  | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 |
| Svizzera |  | 0 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Iran |  | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 |
| Irlanda |  | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 |
| Kazakistan |  | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 |
| Giamaica |  | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10 |
Informazioni sul tavolo delle medaglie virtuali di Gracenote
The Gracenote Virtual Medal Table is a statistical model based on individual and team results in previous Olympics Games, World Championships and World Cups to forecast the most likely gold, silver and bronze medal winners by country. This information is presented in simple to understand projections and seamless data feeds that enable broadcasters, media publishers and pay TV operators to deliver unique Olympic-focused stories across Web, mobile and broadcast properties. https://beta.nielsen.com/news-center/2024/virtual-medal-table-forecast/
Informazioni su Gracenote
Gracenote รจ l'unitร aziendale di Nielsen che si occupa di soluzioni per i contenuti e fornisce metadati di intrattenimento, ID di contenuti e offerte correlate ai principali creatori, distributori e piattaforme del mondo. La tecnologia di Gracenote consente la navigazione e la scoperta di contenuti avanzati, assicurando ai consumatori la possibilitร di connettersi facilmente alla musica, agli spettacoli televisivi, ai film e allo sport che amano e fornendo al contempo potenti analisi dei contenuti che semplificano le complesse decisioni commerciali.
Informazioni su Nielsen
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